After Excess Rainfall In June, How Will July Go? Know IMD’s Prediction

New Delhi: India received 10 per cent excess rainfall in June.

According to India Meteorological Department (IMD), cumulative rainfall for the country as a whole during this year’s southwest monsoon till June 30 has been 10 per cent above normal as per Long Period Average (LPA).

As against the normal of 16.69 cm of rainfall, the actual rainfall during the period was 18.29 cm.

So how will July, the second month of monsoon, be?

IMD has said the monthly rainfall for July 2021 across the country is likely to be normal — between 94% and 106 % of Long Period Average (LPA).

IMD also pointed out that latest global model forecasts indicate that prevailing neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are likely to continue over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and there is enhanced possibility of development of negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions over Indian Ocean during July to September.

Since sea surface temperature (SST) conditions over Pacific and Indian Oceans are known to have strong influence on Indian monsoon, IMD is closely monitoring the evolution of sea surface conditions over these Ocean basins.

IMD will issue the forecast for the rainfall during the second half of the season (August + September, 2021) and for the month of August during end of July or beginning of August 2021.