Bhubaneswar: A low-pressure area is likely to form over the South Andaman sea around November 29. It is likely to become more marked and move west-northwestward in subsequent 48 hours, the Bhubaneswar Meteorological Centre tweeted on Friday.
According to senior meteorologist Jason Nicholls, low pressure can form near the Malay Peninsula t
his weekend then push into the Andaman Sea early next week. “It can strengthen as it tracks NW over the Bay of Bengal later next week. A western disturbance can turn it toward Odisha, WestBengal, Bangladesh or NE India next weekend,” he tweeted.
All models indicate west-northwestward movement for the initial 2 days, followed by northwestward and then northward and northeastward track up to December 4-5, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
The majority of the weather models have predicted that the system will concentrate into depression by December 3 and intensify into a severe category cyclone during subsequent 24-48 hours. “A ‘moderate’ probability is assigned for cyclogenesis (formation of a Depression) over southeast BoB towards the end of week 1 and over central parts of the BoB during the initial half of week 2,” it said.
Squally weather with maximum sustained wind speed reaching 40-50 gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over Andaman Sea and neighbourhood between November 30 and December 2, it added.