Bhubaneswar: The well-marked low pressure concentrated into a depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal around 5.30 pm on Thursday.
The system, which lies about 960 km south-southeast of Vishakhapatnam, 1020 km south-southeast of Gopalpur and 1060 km south-southeast of Paradip, is likely to move northwestwards and intensify into Cyclone ‘Jawad’ during the next 24 hours, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
According to the agency’s special bulletin, the system is likely to reach the west-central Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh–south Odisha coasts the following morning. Thereafter, it is likely to recurve north-northeastwards along the coastline.
Check the forecast track of the cyclone:
Director General (DG) IMD, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra had earlier said that the location and time of the landfall can only be ascertained after the formation of the depression.
According to the IMD-GFS model, the cyclone is likely to make landfall between Srikakulam district in Andhra Pradesh and Puri district in Odisha. The system will then curve along the Odisha coastline to move into West Bengal.
“The system is likely to cross the Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coast on December 4 morning. The maximum intensity (wind speed) will be around 90 kmph gusting up to 100 kmph. Odisha coast will experience 40 to 50 kmph wind from December 3 and the intensity will increase to 70 to 80 kmph, gusting to 90 kmph on December 4,” he said.
At no point, the wind speed will exceed 100kmph, he added.
Meanwhile, Red warning of heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy falls has been issued for the districts of Ganjam, Gajapati, Puri and Jagatsinghpur on December 4. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is also likely to at one or two places in Kendrapada, Cuttack, Khordha, Nayagarh, Kandhamal, Rayagada and Koraput while Balasore, Bhadrak, Jajpur and Malkangiri are likely to experience heavy rainfall the same day.
On December 5, heavy to very heavy rainfall (Orange warning) is likely to occur at one or two places over in Mayurbhanj, Balasore, Bhadrak, Kendrapada, Jagatsinghpur, Jajpur, Cuttack, and Puri, while heavy rainfall is expected in Keonjhar, Angul, Dhenkanal, Nayagarh, Khordha, Ganjam and Gajapati.
The districts under Orange and Yellow warning have been asked to remain prepared to meet any waterlogging or localised flood-like situation, including urban areas and the possibility of landslides in hilly areas.
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