US Presidential Election: Trump Leads Kamala Harris In All Swing States, Poll Reveals

By OB Bureau On Nov 4, 2024

New Delhi: Ahead of the November 5 US elections, former President Donald Trump is leading the predictions, especially in all seven swing states, shows AtlasIntel’s latest poll. About 49% of the respondents said they would vote for Donald Trump, as the Republicans hold a 1.8% vote lead over his counterpart Democrat Kamala Harris, the poll shows.

The survey on the first two days of November included nearly 2,500 likely voters, mostly female.

Swing states

The swing states, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are the battleground states and major deciders of the US presidential election.

According to a survey, the Republican nominee is favoured to win in all the swing states.

Arizona: Trump holds his widest margin, with a 51.9% to 45.1% lead over Harris.

Nevada: 51.4% of voters chose Trump while 45.9% chose Harris when questioned about who they would vote for.

North Carolina: Trump leads by 50.4% of votes, while Harris gets 46.8% of the vote share.

The three types of states in US presidential elections

Presidential elections in the US are shaped by three types of states: Red States, Blue States, and Swing States.

Red States: Those where Republicans have consistently won since 1980.

Blue States: Democrats have dominated these since 1992. These states are generally considered predictable in terms of their electoral outcomes.

Swing states: The battle between Republicans and Democrats here is often extremely close, with winners prevailing by tiny margins. For instance, in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden won Arizona by just 10,000 votes.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll published on October 29 showed Kamala Harris lead over Donald Trump, with the Democrat ahead by a single percentage point over the Republican, 44% to 43%.

While Harris has led Trump in every Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters since she entered the race in July, her lead has steadily shrunk since late September.