Bhubaneswar: The possible cyclonic storm over the southeast Bay of Bengal may change its path and the exact landfall location can be ascertained only after the system concentrates into a depression, Director General (DG) IMD, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said on Thursday.
The low pressure over the Andaman Sea has become well-marked and it is likely to concentrate into a depression during the next 12 hours and intensify further into cyclonic storm Jawad during the subsequent 24 hours. Thereafter it is likely to move north-northeastwards.
According to the IMD-GFS model, the cyclone is likely to make landfall between Srikakulam district in Andhra Pradesh and Puri district in Odisha. The system will then curve along the Odisha coastline to move into West Bengal.
“The system is likely to cross the Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coast on December 4 morning. The maximum intensity (wind speed) will be around 90 kmph gusting up to 100 kmph. Odisha coast will experience 40 to 50 kmph wind from December 3 and the intensity will increase to 70 to 80 kmph, gusting to 90 kmph on December 4,” he added.
According to the agency’s special bulletin, squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over southeast and adjoining east-central Bay of Bengal from December 2 evening.
Gale winds speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph likely to prevail over central Bay of Bengal from the early hours of December 3 and gradually increase becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph over northwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal from the morning of December 4 for the subsequent 24 hours.
Under its influence, heavy to very heavy rainfall (Yellow warning) is likely at one or two places in Ganjam, Gajapati with heavy rainfall at one or two places in Koraput, Rayagada, Puri Jagatsinghpur and Kendrapada on December 3.
Red warning of heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy falls has been issued for the districts of Ganjam, Gajapati, Puri and Jagatsinghpur on December 4. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is also likely to at one or two places in Kendrapada, Cuttack, Khordha, Nayagarh, Kandhamal, Rayagada and Koraput while Balasore, Bhadrak, Jajpur and Malkangiri are likely to experience heavy rainfall the same day.
On December 5, heavy to very heavy rainfall (Orange warning) is likely to occur at one or two places over in Mayurbhanj, Balasore, Bhadrak, Kendrapada, Jagatsinghpur, Jajpur, Cuttack, and Puri, while heavy rainfall is expected in Keonjhar, Angul, Dhenkanal, Nayagarh, Khordha, Ganjam and Gajapati.
The districts under Orange and Yellow warning have been asked to remain prepared to meet any waterlogging or localised flood-like situation, including urban areas and the possibility of landslides in hilly areas.
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