Bhubaneswar: The well-marked low pressure area over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Andaman Sea has concentrated into a depression and lay centered over southeast Bay of Bengal.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD), in its latest bulletin, stated that the depression lay over southeast Bay of Bengal near latitude 8.3°N and longitude 89.5°E, about 510 km southwest of Port Blair, 1480 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh and 1360 km south-southwest of Sittwe in Myanmar at 5.30 pm.
It is very likely to move north-northwestwards and intensify gradually into a cyclonic storm over the same region around Wednesday evening. Continuing to move north-northwestwards, it will gradually intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm by Thursday morning and very severe cyclonic storm around same evening over southeast and adjoining central Bay of Bengal.
Thereafter, the system, called Cyclone Mocha, is likely to recurve gradually and move north-northeastwards and cross southeast Bangladesh and north Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh and Kyaukpyu in Myanmar around forenoon of May 14.
“During the course of recurvature, coastline of North Odisha and West Bengal will fall within strike range, albeit mild, to witness cloudy sky, possibly strong winds and may be rains as well. Sea condition will be terribly rough for boats, trawlers and fishing vessels. The storm will head northeastward towards Bangladesh later in the day on May 12,” private forecaster Skymet said.
The border areas of South Bangladesh and extreme northern parts of Myanmar will have to face the direct hit of Mocha. Actually, the point of impact on the coastline depends on the timing and area for commencement of recurvature, it added.
Also Read: Consensus Among Weather Models On Possible Movement & Landfall Of Cyclone Mocha; Check Here
