New Delhi: The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would return to power with a larger number of seats if the Lok Sabha elections are held today, the India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation (MOTN) survey has revealed.
According to the survey, the NDA will 324 seats and the Congress-led Opposition alliance just 208.
The MOTN poll was conducted between July 1 and August 14, 2025, surveying 54,788 individuals across all Lok Sabha segments. An additional 1,52,038 interviews from CVoter’s regular tracker data were also analysed. Thus, the opinion of a total of 2,06,826 respondents was considered for this report.
If seen party-wise, the survey predicts that if a general election was held now, the BJP would secure 260 seats but still fall short of getting a simple majority of its own. This is a sharp fall from the 281 seats that the MOTN survey predicted in its February edition. This has coincided with the NDA tally seeing a dip from the numbers projected by the MOTN survey in February – from 343 seats to 324.
For the Congress, the MOTN survey predicts 97 seats – a minimal difference from the 99 it won in the 2024 polls. However, if compared to the February MOTN projection of 78 seats, it marks a gradual shift for the party that has gone hammer and tongs against the BJP over its “vote chori” claim.
The NDA will also see a rise in its vote share to 46.7% if elections were held today. It got 44% of the votes in 2024. For the INDI Alliance, the survey predicts a 40.9% vote share.
