Bhubaneswar: A clear picture of the intensity and path of the likely cyclonic storm will emerge once the anticipated low-pressure forms over southeast and adjoining eastcentral Bay of Bengal during the next 48 hours, India Meteorological Department (IMD) Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said on Tuesday.
Speaking to the media, weather scientist Sarat Sahu also reiterated that the intensity, wind speed and likely landfall of the possible cyclone can be predicted accurately around October 21-22.
He further said that the sea surface temperature of about 28 degree Celsius to 30 degree Celsius is ideal for intensification of the system into a tropical storm. “Conditions are favourable since the system is moving at a very low speed of 10 to 20 kmph but it is too early to make any prediction about the path of the cyclone and its severity,” he said.
Also Read: IMD Predicts Possibility Of Cyclone In West-Central Bay Of Bengal
As per available data, the system is likely to move close to the Odisha coast around October 25, he said, adding that it is not an accurate prediction since models keep changing tracks almost every day.
The system will have an impact on coastal Odisha. “if it crosses the Andhra Pradesh coast, there will impact on South Odisha and the state will also be affected if it moves along the coast towards West Bengal. The rain intensity may increase from October 24-25 as post-monsoon cyclones bring more rain,” he said.
Also Read: Landfall At Digha Or Odisha’s Balasore: Check Track Of Possible Cyclone ‘Sitrang’ In Bay Of Bengal
Sahu further said that a deep depression may form over the Bay of Bengal by October 21 night but the cyclonic storm is likely to form from October 23. “Since the system is moving along the coast, there will be interaction with the landmass and dry air intrusion may not support further intensification of the system,” he said.
Meanwhile, AccuWeather lead international forecaster Jason Nicholls tweeted that low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Bay of Bengal over the next couple of days then can strengthen to depression and cyclonic storm this weekend. “Cyclone can make landfall in north Andhra Pradesh, Odisha or Bengal early next week. Storm can peak as a severe cyclonic storm or very severe cyclonic storm,” he added.
Also Read: Cyclone ‘Sitrang’ Likely To Form In Bay After Oct 22; Know Who Named It & What It Means
