Bhubaneswar: A low pressure is likely to form over the south Andaman sea during the next 12 hours, the Bhubaneswar Meteorological Department tweeted on Tuesday.
The system is likely to move west-northwestwards and concentrate into a depression over southeast and adjoining eastcentral Bay of Bengal during subsequent 48 hours, it added.
According to the agency’s tropical weather outlook, the predicted system may intensify into a cyclone as the probability of cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal after 96-120 hours is ‘High’.
Private weather forecaster Skymet said that this weather system is expected to become well marked and intensify further into a depression in the subsequent 24 hours. Thereafter, rapid strengthening is likely and a potential storm seems imminent in the opening days of December.
“This storm also holds the distinction to sail over the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea both, without making a landfall. The earliest storms of the post-monsoon season in the recent past were ‘Hudhud’ over BoB and ‘Luban’ over the Arabian Sea during the first week of October in 2014 and 2018 respectively,” it said.
Also Read: Cyclone Jawad To Make Landfall Between Berhampur & Puri!
It is likely to get close to the coast around December 2 and head west-northwestward, threatening the entire coast – Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, and even WestBengal, it added.
Senior meteorologist Jason Nicholls tweeted: “The low will then strengthen as it tracks WNW across the Bay of Bengal. Storm can become a cyclone before impacting areas from coastal Andhra Pradesh to Odisha, West Bengal and Bangladesh with flooding rains and gusty winds late this week.”
According to Monday’s American GFS model, the possible cyclone is likely to head towards the Odisha coast and make landfall between Berhampur and Puri.
The European weather model has, however, predicted the movement of the storm towards the Andhra Pradesh coast near Visakhapatnam.
If the system intensifies into a cyclone, it will be named ‘Jawad’ as proposed by Saudi Arabia.
The coastline of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha will come under the influence of the storm around December 3. The IMD has forecast heavy rain in three districts of Odisha – Ganjam, Gajapati and Puri – on December 3.
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