Can Coronavirus Be Contained? Mathematical Modelling Studies Suggest A Possibility

New Delhi: Mathematical modelling studies suggest containing the deadly coronavirus might be possible. However, its success “cannot be guaranteed” since there is efficient human to human transmission, the Union Health Ministry said on Saturday.

“Since there is efficient human to human transmission, success of containment operations cannot be guaranteed. Mathematical modeling studies suggest containment might be possible,” it said.

With clusters emerging as high-risk spots for further spread of corona, the Centre has also drawn up a plan to contain the infection within a defined geographic area by early detection of cases and breaking the chain of transmission.

The Committee of Secretaries (COS) and the National Crisis Management Committee (NCMC) will be activated for institutional mechanisms and inter-sectoral coordination at the national level, the Ministry’s document read.

The NCMC will coordinate with health and non-health sectors on issues flagged by the Ministry.

“The concerned state will activate the State Crisis Management Committee or the State Disaster Management Authority, as the case may be to manage the clusters of COVID-19,” it added.

Meanwhile, it has recommended Chemoprophylaxis with Hydroxychloroquine for healthcare workers and high risk contacts in absence of an approved drug or vaccine.